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4 Feb 2003

F030204predict

• What some of the analyst groups are predicting for 2003

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• How modern off-the-shelf IT products make it cheap and easy to start a new business, with reference to GP's biotech venture

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• Problems with decimal (x1000) and binary (x1024) usages of prefixes like kilo, mega, giga etc.

• The state of the microchip market, with reference to the evolution of the Intel line and the "chip wars".

• Lies and stupidity from Senator Richard Alston and others in the Australian government.

• More on decimal and binary usage,
  including feedback from readers.

• The inevitability of increased off-
  shoring, with more and more IT jobs moving to India and China.

• The difficulties facing Sun Microsystems in a commoditised world.

• SCO's "deeply stupid" attempt to sue IBM for stealing bits of Unix to put in Linux.

• Gartner's hype cycle, how it works, and why it is universally applicable.

• Why Larry Ellison is right when he says that most software companies will be out of business in a few years.

• GP visits Germany and has a brief look at the German computer industry.

• Not published.

• Australian company Econsult and its Supermodeller financial modelling software.

• The usefulness of a knowledge of history in helping understand IT trends.

• The death of Ted Codd, father of the relational database.

• The 10th anniversary of the invention of the web browser, and its importance.

• IT in the health industry, and the many problems it faces.

• Canberra company Intology and its
  clever knowledge management
  technology.

• Peoplesoft's acquisition of JD Edwards, and the rationalisation of the software industry.

• Further analysis and comment of the SCO vs IBM battle, and SCO's ridiculous attitude.

• Not published

• Why the NC (network computer) never really took off.

• How Microsoft is doing similar things in systems management that the mainframe vendors once did.

• Canberra company PaybySnap and its snappy Internet payment system.

• Not published

• More rationalisation - the spate of M&A activity in the business intelligence market.

• Outsourcing is back - except it is called "sourcing". Gartner's conference on the subject.

• The evolution of and rationalisation of computer architectures.

• The "real-time enterprise" and the
  increased pace of change in the world.

• The revival and rationale of thin client computing.

• The Pearcey Foundation day in Melbourne, tracking the early history of the Australian IT industry.

• The move to utility computing, and a look at related terms - grid compting, on demand computing, etc.

• How technology is making the concepts of copyright and intellectual property irrelevant.

• How many people are saying that the IT industry is boring, and how it is really just they who are bored.

• An open letter to new communications minister Darryl Wiliams, and one last shot at the unlamented Richard Alston.

• Not published.

• Free phone calls over the Net -
  How Skype has raised the VoIP bar.

• How open source software is a threat to The American Way, and why some people even think it's communist.

• IT management guru Paul Strassman and his concept of Knowledge Capital.

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F031111biotech

• GP's move into biotech, and the differences and similarities between biotech and IT.

• Analysts and those who watch them, with reference to Australian ex-analyst and analyst watcher Dave Noble.

• The coming wireless world, and an interview with Intel CTO Chris Thomas.

• The relative revenue figures of the major vendors, how they have changed over time and what this means.

• Computer-generated poetry, and why it will never be better than the real thing.

• How open source software has even found its way into ERP- and what this means.